The Certainties of Impeachment

Now that Special Counsel Mueller has spoken publicly about his findings, the time has come for a discussion about what know. While the understanding of what we know and don’t know might become clearer as we move forward, a number of facts have been pretty thoroughly established. For example, we know the Trump campaign courted assistance from a hostile foreign power, and we know that behavior did not rise to the level of a chargeable conspiracy. We also know that Trump obstructed justice so egregiously that his office is the only thing that saved him from being charged with multiple felonies. These things are known, and unchallenged in legitimate circles. And with no additional information of any kind, we have enough to form the strongest case for impeachment in American history. The second-best case is miles behind, yet even though three different presidents have been impeached previously, today’s House seems to want nothing to do with it. I believe their reticence has to do with a misunderstanding of the certainties involved.

The argument against impeachment seems to hinge on a few key beliefs. The first is that impeaching the president, only to have the Senate acquit him, will grant him leverage in the next election, perhaps even enough to win. This argument is not without merit, as this is a real risk, but to believe it is the likely outcome, we must believe that after hours and hours of must-see testimony in the House, all of it painting a vivid and irrefutable picture of the most lawless president in American history, that every single Senator in the GOP will deny the obvious and abandon all reason just to back a president that virtually none of them ever wanted. We would also have to believe that the impeachment proceedings in totality would have less persuasive power than the president’s eventual exoneration narrative – that the American people would lift him up and re-elect him even after being forced to see him for precisely what he is, a two-bit mobster. It’s possible, but not nearly as likely as many claim today, and the price the GOP might pay for blind party loyalty could just as easily be a boon for Democrats at the polls. It all hinges on the strength of the case brought before the American people, and that case looks stronger and stronger with each passing millisecond.

But these are the certainties we know. They are not the certainties we have not yet considered. For example, we are certain that Trump will do anything, legal or otherwise, to save himself. He’ll lie, cheat, steal, weaponize his office and those under him, engage hostile foreign powers to aid him, perhaps even go to war. The only relevant certainty when it comes to predicting Trump’s behavior is that we can be certain that there is nothing he will not do. Those weighing the potential harm that might be done by a divisive impeachment process fail to recognize that this harm could pale in comparison to what might happen should we pass on impeachment and give Trump another year and a half to sow fear and hate with impunity. And let us not forget – at the start of the 2016 election cycle, democrats were pretty much in the same place they are now, roughly 10 points ahead of a buffoon, and certain that they have him right where they want him. The stage is set.

That said, the scariest certainties are yet to come. We know there is nothing Trump will not do to save himself, and there is no price the rest of us might have to pay that will matter to him at all. We know there are no less than 14 investigations into his criminality, and we can be nearly certain there are charges coming. What other certainties can we draw from what we know?

Would he manufacture an investigation into his opponent, perhaps even charge her with a crime at the most politically opportune moment? Might he start a war to get a bump in the polls? Could he re-establish his relationship with Russian hackers to help him leverage deep fakes and increasingly clever new forms of fake news? Will our media fall down the same rabbit hole they did in 2016, when they abandoned journalism for ratings? Could Congress and the American people really let all of this happen a second time?


Contributing Editor: Brett Pransky

Brett Pransky is a rabid humanitarian with a sharp pen and a graduate degree in Rhetoric - a truly dangerous animal. His natural habitat is the halls of Ohio University, but he can be found on Twitter now and again as well, @BrettPransky.


  • Kristen
    Posted June 9, 2019 12:59 am 0Likes

    Whoa! This blog looks exactly like my old one! It’s on a entirely different topic but it has pretty much the same page layout and design. Outstanding choice of colors!

    I really like what you guys are usually up too. This kind of
    clever work and exposure! Keep up the superb works guys I’ve incorporated you
    guys to my own blogroll. Whoa! This blog looks just like
    my old one! It’s on a entirely different subject but it has
    pretty much the same layout and design. Outstanding choice of colors!

  • Pingback: Homepage
  • TgEGS2
    Posted June 14, 2019 11:50 pm 0Likes

    539225 71008For anyone one of the lucky peoples, referring purchase certain products, and in addition you charm all of the envy of all the the numerous any other individuals around you that tend to have effort as such make a difference. motor movers 115441

  • George Michael Sherry
    Posted June 24, 2019 1:53 am 0Likes

    For what it’s worth, I’m pretty sure only TWO presidents (Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton) have been impeached. The most likely to be erroneously counted as the third is probably Richard Nixon. The House had taken steps toward impeaching him (a committee had voted in favor of it) but had not completed the process before he resigned, thus he was never actually impeached.
    Other than that, excellent essay. I agree there is nothing Trump would not do, both to prevent conviction after impeachment (which is what I thought you meant, at first) AND to win reelection (which is what you actually meant). I had not thought of his having his opponent falsely indicted for a crime, but of course he would (and his current AG probably would help). We’re up against someone with no moral limits, either way.

  • nfc door access control
    Posted June 27, 2019 5:24 pm 0Likes

    What i don’t understood is in truth how you’re no longer
    really much more smartly-preferred than you
    may be right now.You’re so intelligent. You realize thus significantly in the case of this topic, produced me
    in mmy opinion imagine it from numerous varied angles.
    Its like men aand women aren’t fascinated unless it is one thing to do with Girl gaga!
    Your personal stuffs nice. At alll times deal with it up!

    Posted June 27, 2019 7:09 pm 0Likes

    It’s perfect time to make a few plans for the long run and it’s time to be happy.
    I have learn this put up and if I may I wish to counsel
    you some interesting things or suggestions. Perhaps
    you could write subsequent articles relating to this article.
    I want to learn even more things approximately it!

  • Market Strom αθηνα
    Posted June 30, 2019 10:34 am 0Likes

    Usually I do not read article on blogs, however I would like to say that this write-up
    very pressured me to take a look at and do so! Your
    writing taste has been surprised me. Thank you, very nice post.

  • Market strom κρεβατια
    Posted July 1, 2019 1:32 am 0Likes

    What’s up, all the time i used to check webpage posts here in the early hours in the dawn, for the reason that i
    like to learn more and more.

  • Marketstrom.Gr αθηνα
    Posted July 4, 2019 3:36 am 0Likes

    Hiya! I know this is kinda off topic nevertheless I’d figured
    I’d ask. Would you be interested in exchanging
    links or maybe guest writing a blog post or vice-versa?

    My website discusses a lot of the same subjects as yours and I believe we could greatly benefit from each other.

    If you’re interested feel free to shoot me an e-mail.

    I look forward to hearing from you! Awesome blog by the way!

  • card reader door access control system
    Posted July 6, 2019 11:06 am 0Likes

    Nice blog here! Also your site loads up fast!
    What web hst are you using? Can I get yyour affiliate link
    to your host? I wish mmy web site loaded up as quickly as yours lol

  • Bebe
    Posted July 7, 2019 10:40 am 0Likes

    Greetings! I know this is kind of off topic but I was wondering which blog platform are you using for this site?
    I’m getting sick and tired of WordPress because I’ve
    had problems with hackers and I’m looking at
    alternatives for another platform. I would be
    great if you could point me in the direction of a good platform.

  • Market Strom
    Posted July 8, 2019 7:02 pm 0Likes

    Link exchange is nothing else however it is simply placing
    the other person’s website link on your page at appropriate place and other person will also do same in favor of you.

  • marketstrom μεταλλικα κρεβατια αθηνα
    Posted July 11, 2019 4:49 pm 0Likes

    I’m gone to tell my little brother, that he should
    also pay a quick visit this webpage on regular basis
    to obtain updated from newest information.

  • Wholesale Jerseys
    Posted July 11, 2019 6:18 pm 0Likes

    Wholesale Jerseys
    Solution: remove the flywheel. Some of that
    kinetic energy will be stored in the piece of equipment you are powering but if not then some horsepower could be
    lost. Problem 2) When starting up a treadmill you wouldn’t want it to start up
    at full speed while you are on it. Must have been something wrong
    with the ice at the west end of the rink. Early second
    period giveaways down there by Erik Karlsson and Filip Kuba were
    almost as bad as early first period turnovers in the same area by Tom Gilbert
    and Horcoff.

    wholesale nfl jerseys Up to this point, I am sure you all agree with me.
    But I don’t want to stop yet; this truth, that Christmas is
    not about trappings but about Christ, goes beyond the holidays into the whole
    way we live our lives. You see, just as Christmas so often swallows Christ, so religion has often swallowed
    Him. For the past few centuries astronomers have been able to predict the movement of heavenly bodies.

    With better technology, we have started to observe galaxies with more and
    more detail. While observing the movement of stars in distant galaxies, we have found irregularities in their
    orbits. wholesale nfl jerseys

    wholesale jerseys from china The player must give the official
    scorekeeper his jersey number and wait at the scorer table before entering the game.

    The scoreboard operator is responsible for blowing the horn in order to notify the officials that a player wishes
    to substitute into the game. Entering the game at any other time when not beckoned by the officials constitutes
    a technical foul. The Juvenile Court Act of 1899 was the first official court
    of its type in the US that outlined the cases that it could have jurisdiction over and that separated it from the adult courts.

    From the very creation of the juvenile courts and the
    ideal model of it to the present time, society has been dealing with a huge gap
    between this ideal and the reality. Before the 1960 s there was no legal rights
    that juveniles had, thus due processes were introduced and system
    moved away from the idea of child being somebody
    s property: either of state or of the parents. wholesale jerseys from china

    Cheap Jerseys from china Diabetics who require 80 to 160 units of insulin every day will find that the 2 cc.
    Standard U80 syringe is quite useful. There are even special
    syringes for blind diabetics. Latest match score: United States 8 Europe 623:57 Furyk
    has an opportunity to halve the match for the US with a long putt, but
    he falls short, and McDowell and Poulter now both have chances to make sure of
    a point for Europe.23:53 Stenson is left holding his head in his hands as
    a long putt on the 17th stops within a fingernail’s width of the cup.
    Mickelson has a great opportunity to win the hole,
    but the pressure gets to him, too, and it’s all square
    with one to play. The tension here is just something
    else.23:45 And the Englishman does it. Cheap Jerseys from china

    wholesale jerseys I did get mostly A’s and B’s during high school
    thinking that would make me popular, but it didn’t get
    me into the hip crowd and didn’t attract any girls.
    Looking back, I guess I compensated. I had no self worth or
    success socially so I stuck my head in books and got A’s and B’s.
    That is an improvement from 2011, when 54 per cent
    of park ecosystems were rated fair or poor.But the group’s
    national director is still worried about some regions.”We are particularly concerned right now about the Rocky Mountain parks. Visitation in those parks is through the roof. There are enormous development pressures going on in those parks from commercial development, other development inside, and they just can’t sustain any more development,” said Alison Woodley.Under its legislation, Parks
    Canada is supposed to release a report on the state of federal parks every two years.The last one was tabled in 2011.And this current
    report does not contain much detail on why some parks received a good rating and
    others did not.”It’s the first step. wholesale jerseys

    cheap nfl jerseys While there is no proof that a national championship for Notre Dame makes the world a better place, it does help it make more sense in an age of fewer and fewer sure things. The Marines. General Motors. ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr. Says Mariota doesn’t yet have pro level accuracy because he didn’t need it in college. His receivers were (by pro standards) wide open. Informationen zu Bloomingdale’s: Bloomingdale’s ist das einzige flchendeckende, vollwertige, gehobene Kaufhaus in Amerika und eine Sparte von Macy’s, Inc. Die Firma wurde 1872 gegrndet und betreibt 37 Bloomingdale’s Lden sowie 13 Bloomingdale’s, The Outlet Lden in New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia, Illinois, Georgia, Florida, New Hampshire, Kalifornien und Texas. Bloomingdale’s ist darber hinaus mit einem Kaufhaus in Dubai international vertreten cheap nfl jerseys.

  • τα καλυτερα στρωματα
    Posted July 14, 2019 9:25 am 0Likes

    Hello colleagues, fastidious article and pleasant
    arguments commented here, I am actually enjoying by these.

  • Marketstrom.Gr μεταλλικα κρεβατια
    Posted July 16, 2019 11:34 pm 0Likes

    What’s Taking place i am new to this, I stumbled upon this I have discovered It positively
    helpful and it has aided me out loads. I am hoping to give a
    contribution & assist different customers like its aided me.
    Good job.

  • Pingback: My Homepage
  • viagra online
    Posted July 19, 2019 5:30 pm 0Likes

    Cuando las terminaciones nerviosas y las zonas de la médula que se relacionan con dichos estímulos están dañadas aparecen problemas de erección, como por ejemplo en enfermedades como la epilepsia, la esclerosis múltiple, mal de Parkinson, lesiones en la médula, mal de Alzheimer, etc.. Los inhibidores de la proteasa se espera que incrementen el nivel de sangre de Cialis. Viagra en españa

  • BEOlr7LxVmW
    Posted July 21, 2019 5:07 pm 0Likes

    69673 239905Greetings! This is my 1st comment here so I just wanted to give a quick shout out and tell you I genuinely enjoy reading through your blog posts. Can you suggest any other blogs/websites/forums that go over the same subjects? Thank you so much! 630604

  • Pingback: Entrepreneurship
  • Pingback:
  • Pingback:
  • Pingback:
  • Pingback:
  • Pingback: daftar poker online
  • Pingback:
  • Pingback: TYTPORNO - Смотреть онлайн порно бесплатно
  • Pingback: kitchens durham and kitchen in durham
  • Pingback: cryptocurrencies
  • Pingback: Southwood homes for sale
  • Pingback: Social Media Marketing Agency
  • Pingback: lithium ion battery pack charger
  • Pingback: view publisher site
  • Pingback: casino online
  • Pingback: ABC song : Alphabet Songs for Children
  • Pingback: Learning Colors With Colorful Truck
  • Pingback: พนันบอลออนไลน์
  • Pingback: Fed Cuts Rates Peter Schiff Inflation vs Deflation Gold and Bitcoin TA
  • Pingback: Toddlers
  • Pingback: الربح من الاستطلاعات
  • Pingback: Autoteile Katalog
  • Pingback: link
  • comprar cialis
    Posted August 1, 2019 3:04 pm 0Likes

    Esta es una enfermedad que se va desarrollando con el tiempo y puede traer como consecuencia la DE. El Andriol se utiliza como complemento medico, a los hombres que tienen descompesada a la baja su testosterona.

  • Thomshon
    Posted August 1, 2019 3:31 pm 0Likes

    agen judi online, poker online terpercaya, agen poker online, judi online terpercaya, judi online, poker online bandar1001

  • Pingback: ไฮโล
  • Pingback: Yucaipa auto insurance in california
  • Pingback: royal online
  • Pingback: dragon-tiger
  • Pingback: Bess Pets
  • Pingback: Restaurants in South County
  • Pingback: rubber band
  • Pingback: mon blog
  • Pingback: โปรโมชั่นแทงบอล
  • Pingback: รับทำ SEO
  • Pingback: Learn to hack
  • Pingback: magnetic wallpaper
  • Pingback: แทงหวยออนไลน์
  • Pingback: cheetah miner
  • Pingback: click here
  • Pingback: where can i buy canvas art
  • Trackback: 바카라사이트
  • judi online
    Posted September 13, 2019 9:52 pm 0Likes

    It’s the best time to make some plans for the long
    run and it’s time to be happy. I’ve read this post and if I may I want to counsel you some attention-grabbing issues or
    suggestions. Maybe you could write subsequent articles
    referring to this article. I desire to learn more things approximately it!

  • girl
    Posted September 22, 2019 11:22 am 0Likes

    If some one needs to be updated with most recent technologies therefore
    he must be pay a quick visit this site and be up to date all the time.

    Posted September 30, 2019 9:00 am 0Likes

    see this was the same dress at

  • elo boost
    Posted October 1, 2019 4:34 pm 0Likes

    96230550 você que admiram o league of legends, falo sobre um site de duoboost conhecido como elo high 231089868

  • elo job lol
    Posted October 1, 2019 9:43 pm 0Likes

    697594467 você que brincam de lol, recomendo sobre um site de duoboost conhecido como elojob high 478892494

  • Rose
    Posted October 3, 2019 11:46 am 0Likes

    What are the conventions? Any academic piece of writing has different rules of the things they shouldn’t and what pupils have to do as revealed in this guide. Find out! We are a team that’s willing to assist for improving your grades through our 25, you get the right definition essay on beauty.

  • girl
    Posted October 9, 2019 3:46 pm 0Likes

    This article offers clear idea designed for the new viewers of blogging, that in fact
    how to do blogging and site-building.

Add Comment